Operational
Capital Programme Delivery Risk
Delivery risk scoring across the capital project portfolio by stage-gate health and slippage.
Why Score Capital Programme Delivery Risk
Capital under-spending and stalled infrastructure projects are among the most visible failures of public-sector delivery and a recurring theme in AGSA reporting. Scoring delivery risk across the project portfolio by stage-gate health and slippage gives the accounting officer early warning long before year-end reveals the under-spend. AuditPro Core rates each project on its delivery risk so the capital programme can be managed as a portfolio rather than a year-end surprise.
The Numbers
AuditPro Core renders this view from your tenant's live, tamper-evident records. The figures below are illustrative sample data.
Projects tracked
38
Red-rated
9
▲ 2
Budget at risk
R 312 m
of R 1.1 bn
Avg slippage
4.2 mo
▲ 0.8
Projects by delivery RAG status
Highest-risk capital projects
| Project | Budget (R m) | Slippage (mo) | RAG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulk water pipeline | 184 | 9 | Red |
| Landfill expansion | 96 | 6 | Red |
| Road rehabilitation | 142 | 3 | Amber |
| Clinic upgrade | 58 | 5 | Red |
Figures shown are illustrative sample data for demonstration. AuditPro Core renders these views from your own tenant's live, tamper-evident records.
Stage-Gate Health
Projects pass through gates from feasibility to design, procurement and construction, and a project stuck at a gate is a project at risk. Tracking gate health catches stalling early, while there is still time to intervene.
Slippage as a Leading Indicator
Schedule slippage usually precedes budget under-spend and cost overrun. Measuring slippage early gives a warning that headline spend figures only confirm months later.
Portfolio, Not Project, View
Individual projects may each look manageable while the portfolio as a whole is heading for material under-spend. A portfolio view aggregates risk so the programme-level problem becomes visible.
Delivery Risk and Grant Conditions
Much capital funding carries conditional-grant deadlines, so delivery risk is also compliance risk. A slipping project can trigger grant rollovers or stoppages that compound the original delay.
How AuditPro Core Bridges the Gap
- Stage-gate scoring: each project carries a delivery-risk rating built from gate health and slippage rather than a single status flag.
- Early-warning flags: slipping and gate-stuck projects are surfaced while intervention can still recover the schedule.
- Portfolio aggregation: project risks roll up to a programme view so material under-spend is visible before year-end.
- Traceability to source: each score links to the project's schedule, gate records and grant conditions.
Key Takeaways
- A project stuck at a stage-gate is a project at risk — track gate health.
- Schedule slippage warns of under-spend and overrun before spend figures do.
- A portfolio view reveals programme-level under-spend single projects hide.
- Delivery risk on grant-funded projects is also a compliance risk.
See This on Your Own Data
AuditPro Core renders this dashboard from your tenant's live, tamper-evident records — every figure traceable to source.